Monday, March 14, 2011

Hebert sees a Tory Majority and a bloc disintegration?

An interesting piece by Chantal Hebert on why a Tory majority would be very bad for the bloc. Anything bad for the bloc makes me very happy indeed.

In an election held last week Duceppe could have knocked off a handful of Conservative MPs.

But an election held under such auspicious circumstances could also result in an inauspicious outcome for the Bloc.

While the path to a potential Conservative majority is unlikely to run through Quebec in the next election, polls suggest that a combination of gains in Ontario, Newfoundland/Labrador and British Columbia could bring Harper over the line.

A stronger Bloc caucus that ended up sitting across from a Conservative majority in the next Parliament would be akin to a dog that had traded its bite for a louder bark.

The loss of opposition influence that is attendant to majority rule would only be the first of many new headaches for the Bloc.

More so than any other party it has come to depend on the per-vote subsidy to finance itself. Along with the long-gun registry, that subsidy would be in the crosshairs of a Conservative majority government.

Its elimination alone might not cripple the Bloc to the degree that some pundits predict but it is not far-fetched to assume that Duceppe would bow out of the House of Commons at some point in the four-year course of a majority mandate. He is in his third decade in federal politics.

The combination of a substantial decrease in public funding and a lesser-known rookie leader would spell hard times for the Bloc.

3 comments:

Marginalized Action Dinosaur said...

:-)

they canèt survive without their handouts, LOL.

Try separating dudes.

wilson said...

Reality,
Harper can get his majority without Quebec BECAUSE of the Bloc.

Reality,
there are 3 1/2 times as many 'federal' seats available in Western Canada as there is in Quebec BECAUSE of the Bloc

Reality,
the ROC can't hear you Quebec BECAUSE of the Bloc

Craig Smith said...

If Quebec separated we would have 30 years of Conservative majorities.

I Support Lord Black