Sunday, July 25, 2010

Crime down in Canada?

Not according to Licia Corbella
But right on the same page as that quote is a graph of the crime rate per 100,000 population in Canada from 1962 to 2007. The crime rate increase is so steep the graph looks like a drawing of Mount Everest.

In 1962 -- when police reported crime started to be mapped -- there were slightly more than 2,000 crimes per 100,000 population; in 2007, it was a whopping 6,984. But this is the mild stuff. For an even steeper, more precipitous climb, look at the graph that illustrates the exponential rise in violent crime.

In 1962, there were just slightly more than 200 violent crimes committed per 100,000 population. In 2007, that number spiked almost five times to 930 violent crimes per 100,000 population. In other words, we are a much more violent society today than we once were in recent history. What is even more alarming about these figures is it doesn't take into account the aging of Canada's population. Aging populations should show a decline in violent crime -- not an increase.

In the report released Tuesday, there is a subheading called: "Youth violent crime declining but still higher than a decade ago." So, the trend is down, but it's also up, and if you take a longer-term view of things, it's way, way up.

or Lorrie Goldstein
Every year, when Statistics Canada reports on the annual crime rate, I’m reminded of three old sayings.

First, there are lies, damned lies and statistics.

Second, while a river you’re swimming in may have an average depth of one metre, you can still drown in water that’s way over your head.

Third, if you don’t know what you’re looking at, for example if you had to describe an elephant solely by touch, you might mistake it for a snake (trunk), a tree (leg) or a dagger (tusk).

All these sayings come to mind regarding media reporting of the annual crime statistics. Most outlets, year after year, rewrite the top lines of the Statistics Canada press release.
Words to the effect that the year-over-year crime rate has dropped — this time by 3% in 2009 compared to 2008, and 17% compared to a decade ago.

Or Lorne Gunter

Has crime really fallen precipitously in Canada in the past decade, or have many of us merely given up reporting minor instances to the police because there is no longer any point in doing so?

It's probably a little of both. This past Tuesday, Statistics Canada released its annual report on police-reported crime. It claimed a 17-per-cent drop in crime in the past decade.

That stat was immediately grabbed by opposition politicians and the federal government's detractors in the media as proof that the Tories' get-tough-on-crime strategy is misplaced.

Commentators and opposition critics insisted the Tories' plan to build $5 billion or more in new prisons, to put more criminals behind bars and to keep them there longer was nothing more than pandering to the ill-informed masses.


CanadianSense said...

The fear mongering by the media and opposition parties with the need to build more prisons should have died. Did it?

Can't have it both ways, crime is down, violent offenders spend more time and prisons won't be full as rates continue to fall for non-violent offences.

Powell lucas said...

Then you have the courts telling the RCMP that they have to hire some incompetent fruit-loop just because he's a Muslim. More hires like this and you can bet the reported crime rate will vanish while the actual rate increases.

Anonymous said...

Policing budgets aren't measured against 1962 levels.

Your rant was, as per usual, pointless.

Neo Conservative said...

"another anonymous troll splutters... Your rant was, as per usual, pointless."

hmmm... what rant was that nonny?

i trust we will see your letter to the editor of the calgary herald very

wait... you didn't actually argue any points... you just made a pathetic
attempt to insult dr roy.

funny how that works, huh?.


been around the block said...

Neo Conservative re "Anonymous": "wait... you didn't actually argue any points... you just made a pathetic
attempt to insult dr roy.

"funny how that works, huh?."

That's all that Leftards have: insults and slagging. They're totally bereft of arguments because, frankly, they're ignorant know-nothing's who don't do their homework, 'just spout leftist propaganda -- or, as in this case, groundless jeers, sneers, and leers, the default ad hominems.

(Case in point, recently on another blog, a leftist blowhard said that Christians caused slavery -- when, in fact, the truth is that Christians [Wilberforce, Gladstone, etc.] led the charge for emancipation. But, lefties don't know any history, just what they pick up in our woefully inadequate "educational" system and on the boob tube.)

I Support Lord Black