This article urges iffy to roll the dice. I guess the authour didn't realize the grits are having a "big ideas" event at the end of the month. That should further deplete their limited financial reserves. The " big ideas conference probably will be a bust.
By all means iffy listen to the media and friendly pollsters. The Tories are ready ready , willing and able to defeat you.
Did Michael Ignatieff miss an opportunity to display strong leadership and defeat the Conservative government?
Quite likely, yes.
It is true that the last time the Liberals tried to push an election, it proved controversial - though in large part because the Conservatives were able to control the political discourse. By passing up confidence votes, the federal Liberals risk being seen as abrogating their role as official opposition, something that is damaging in the eyes of progressive voters who want to see a strong opposition to the Harper government.
Furthermore, it is almost comical to see an official opposition say they are opposed to something, only to purposely not have enough MPs show up for the vote in Parliament in order to prevent the government from falling on a non-confidence vote. It is things like this that foster public cynicism in politics.
In politics it is difficult - if not impossible - to predict the future. The Conservatives do have a significant advantage in fundraising. They also have the edge in the polls, but in this case it is only a marginal lead as they remain in a virtual dead-heat with the Liberals. Considering the unpredictability of politics, it would be wrong to naturally assume that the Conservatives would form another government if an election were held in the near future.